Palo Alto, Iowa — Presidential Election Results

Palo Alto, Iowa has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 32.1 pts more Rep. than Iowa overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Iowa
2000 George W. Bush Republican 2,341 48.5% 0.3 pts (15 votes) 4,823 — 0.6 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 2,674 51.5% 3.7 pts (192 votes) 5,191 -3.4 pts 3.1 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 2,428 50.5% 2.8 pts (134 votes) 4,806 +6.6 pts 6.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 2,660 54.4% 10.7 pts (521 votes) 4,887 -13.7 pts 16.8 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,081 65.5% 35.8 pts (1,683 votes) 4,703 -26.7 pts 27.4 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 3,378 68.1% 37.5 pts (1,859 votes) 4,958 -0.4 pts 29.4 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,576 71.8% 44.9 pts (2,238 votes) 4,982 -7.6 pts 32.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 10,135 47.6% of population
2004 9,753 53.2% of population
2008 9,486 50.7% of population
2012 9,279 52.7% of population
2016 9,034 52.1% of population
2020 8,993 55.1% of population
2024 8,809 56.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Palo Alto shifted 45.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+0.3 pts 2004: R+3.7 pts 2008: D+2.8 pts 2012: R+10.9 pts 2016: R+37.6 pts 2020: R+38.0 pts 2024: R+45.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Palo Alto has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Iowa Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Palo Alto voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Palo Alto has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Palo Alto?

Palo Alto's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.3 points (15 votes) out of 4,823 total votes cast.

Has Palo Alto ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Palo Alto changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Palo Alto?

The widest margin on record for Palo Alto was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 45.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Palo Alto relative to its population?

In 2024, 4,982 votes were recorded in Palo Alto against a total population of 8,809 (56.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Palo Alto a presidential bellwether county?

Palo Alto has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).