Osceola, Iowa — Presidential Election Results
Osceola, Iowa has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 51.6 pts more Rep. than Iowa overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Iowa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,064 | 67.4% | 37.6 pts (1,151 votes) | 3,063 | — | 39.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,295 | 70.3% | 41.7 pts (1,361 votes) | 3,266 | -3.5 pts | 41.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,027 | 64.8% | 31.7 pts (990 votes) | 3,127 | +9.8 pts | 42.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,230 | 69.8% | 41.3 pts (1,318 votes) | 3,194 | -9.6 pts | 47.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,531 | 78.8% | 61.6 pts (1,979 votes) | 3,213 | -22.2 pts | 54.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,695 | 81.0% | 62.9 pts (2,094 votes) | 3,328 | +0.7 pts | 54.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,623 | 81.2% | 64.0 pts (2,068 votes) | 3,229 | -1.5 pts | 51.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,985 | 43.9% of population |
| 2004 | 6,863 | 47.6% of population |
| 2008 | 6,617 | 47.3% of population |
| 2012 | 6,204 | 51.5% of population |
| 2016 | 6,095 | 52.7% of population |
| 2020 | 6,200 | 53.7% of population |
| 2024 | 6,036 | 53.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Osceola shifted 26.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Osceola has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Iowa Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Osceola voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Osceola has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Osceola?
Osceola's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 32.3 points (990 votes) out of 3,127 total votes cast.
Has Osceola ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Osceola has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Osceola?
The widest margin on record for Osceola was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 65.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Osceola relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,229 votes were recorded in Osceola against a total population of 6,036 (53.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Osceola a presidential bellwether county?
Osceola has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).