Muscatine, Iowa — Presidential Election Results
Muscatine, Iowa has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 1.7 pts more Rep. than Iowa overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Iowa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 8,058 | 50.1% | 3.6 pts (575 votes) | 16,076 | — | 3.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 9,542 | 51.0% | 2.8 pts (522 votes) | 18,717 | -0.9 pts | 3.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 10,920 | 57.1% | 15.6 pts (2,991 votes) | 19,119 | +13.1 pts | 6.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 11,323 | 57.0% | 15.9 pts (3,155 votes) | 19,865 | +0.3 pts | 10.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 9,584 | 49.3% | 6.3 pts (1,216 votes) | 19,434 | -23.0 pts | 3.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 10,865 | 52.6% | 7.2 pts (1,493 votes) | 20,671 | -0.6 pts | 1.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 11,152 | 56.5% | 14.9 pts (2,940 votes) | 19,752 | -7.8 pts | 1.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 41,791 | 38.5% of population |
| 2004 | 41,758 | 44.8% of population |
| 2008 | 42,515 | 45.0% of population |
| 2012 | 42,916 | 46.3% of population |
| 2016 | 42,968 | 45.2% of population |
| 2020 | 43,155 | 47.9% of population |
| 2024 | 42,132 | 46.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Muscatine shifted 18.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Muscatine has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Iowa Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Muscatine voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Muscatine has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Muscatine?
Muscatine's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 2.8 points (522 votes) out of 18,717 total votes cast.
Has Muscatine ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Muscatine changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Muscatine?
The widest margin on record for Muscatine was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 16.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Muscatine relative to its population?
In 2024, 19,752 votes were recorded in Muscatine against a total population of 42,132 (46.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Muscatine a presidential bellwether county?
Muscatine has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).