Mitchell, Iowa — Presidential Election Results

Mitchell, Iowa has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 18.1 pts more Rep. than Iowa overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Iowa
2000 Al Gore Democratic 2,650 51.3% 5.1 pts (262 votes) 5,162 — 4.9 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 2,785 50.8% 2.5 pts (139 votes) 5,480 -2.6 pts 3.2 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 3,179 55.1% 12.3 pts (710 votes) 5,766 +10.0 pts 2.9 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 2,831 50.7% 3.4 pts (188 votes) 5,586 -9.1 pts 2.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,190 58.9% 24.0 pts (1,302 votes) 5,417 -29.1 pts 15.5 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 3,684 63.3% 28.0 pts (1,631 votes) 5,822 -2.8 pts 19.8 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,736 64.7% 31.1 pts (1,793 votes) 5,771 -3.1 pts 18.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 10,868 47.5% of population
2004 10,898 50.3% of population
2008 10,815 53.3% of population
2012 10,716 52.1% of population
2016 10,644 50.9% of population
2020 10,586 55.0% of population
2024 10,632 54.3% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mitchell shifted 36.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+5.2 pts 2004: D+2.6 pts 2008: D+12.6 pts 2012: D+3.4 pts 2016: R+25.6 pts 2020: R+28.4 pts 2024: R+31.6 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Mitchell has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Iowa Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Mitchell voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Mitchell has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Mitchell?

Mitchell's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 2.6 points (139 votes) out of 5,480 total votes cast.

Has Mitchell ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Mitchell changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mitchell?

The widest margin on record for Mitchell was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 31.6 points.

How many votes were cast in Mitchell relative to its population?

In 2024, 5,771 votes were recorded in Mitchell against a total population of 10,632 (54.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Mitchell a presidential bellwether county?

Mitchell has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).