Mahaska, Iowa — Presidential Election Results
Mahaska, Iowa has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 38.8 pts more Rep. than Iowa overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Iowa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,971 | 62.6% | 27.3 pts (2,601 votes) | 9,543 | — | 28.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,858 | 63.9% | 28.6 pts (3,068 votes) | 10,728 | -1.0 pts | 28.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,271 | 57.4% | 16.5 pts (1,807 votes) | 10,932 | +12.0 pts | 26.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,448 | 59.2% | 20.5 pts (2,235 votes) | 10,883 | -4.1 pts | 26.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 7,432 | 69.9% | 45.3 pts (4,813 votes) | 10,632 | -26.9 pts | 37.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,320 | 73.0% | 47.6 pts (5,426 votes) | 11,404 | -0.5 pts | 39.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,207 | 75.0% | 51.4 pts (5,630 votes) | 10,946 | -3.8 pts | 38.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 22,299 | 42.8% of population |
| 2004 | 22,240 | 48.2% of population |
| 2008 | 22,483 | 48.6% of population |
| 2012 | 22,398 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 22,186 | 47.9% of population |
| 2020 | 22,162 | 51.5% of population |
| 2024 | 22,034 | 49.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mahaska shifted 24.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Mahaska has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Iowa Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Mahaska voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Mahaska has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Mahaska?
Mahaska's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 16.8 points (1,807 votes) out of 10,932 total votes cast.
Has Mahaska ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Mahaska has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mahaska?
The widest margin on record for Mahaska was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 52.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Mahaska relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,946 votes were recorded in Mahaska against a total population of 22,034 (49.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Mahaska a presidential bellwether county?
Mahaska has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).