Madison, Iowa — Presidential Election Results

Madison, Iowa has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.6 pts more Rep. than Iowa overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Iowa
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,662 52.5% 8.2 pts (569 votes) 6,969 — 8.7 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 4,538 56.7% 14.5 pts (1,158 votes) 8,004 -6.2 pts 14.0 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,579 54.0% 10.0 pts (846 votes) 8,480 +4.4 pts 19.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,638 54.8% 11.9 pts (1,008 votes) 8,458 -2.0 pts 18.1 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,360 62.1% 31.1 pts (2,682 votes) 8,636 -21.2 pts 23.2 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 6,525 66.4% 34.5 pts (3,391 votes) 9,824 -1.7 pts 26.5 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 6,864 68.4% 38.5 pts (3,856 votes) 10,028 -4.0 pts 25.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 14,049 49.6% of population
2004 14,733 54.3% of population
2008 15,517 54.6% of population
2012 15,641 54.1% of population
2016 15,796 54.7% of population
2020 16,628 59.1% of population
2024 17,161 58.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Madison shifted 30.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+8.4 pts 2004: R+14.6 pts 2008: R+10.2 pts 2012: R+12.2 pts 2016: R+33.4 pts 2020: R+35.1 pts 2024: R+39.1 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Madison has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Iowa Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Madison voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Madison has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Madison?

Madison's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 8.4 points (569 votes) out of 6,969 total votes cast.

Has Madison ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Madison has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Madison?

The widest margin on record for Madison was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 39.1 points.

How many votes were cast in Madison relative to its population?

In 2024, 10,028 votes were recorded in Madison against a total population of 17,161 (58.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Madison a presidential bellwether county?

Madison has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).