Guthrie, Iowa — Presidential Election Results
Guthrie, Iowa has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.1 pts more Rep. than Iowa overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Iowa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,840 | 51.9% | 6.3 pts (347 votes) | 5,469 | — | 6.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,325 | 55.5% | 11.9 pts (711 votes) | 5,994 | -5.5 pts | 11.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,074 | 52.6% | 7.7 pts (449 votes) | 5,847 | +4.1 pts | 17.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,171 | 53.9% | 10.2 pts (602 votes) | 5,888 | -2.6 pts | 16.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,628 | 63.1% | 33.0 pts (1,896 votes) | 5,750 | -24.9 pts | 25.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,280 | 67.2% | 36.0 pts (2,295 votes) | 6,371 | -1.3 pts | 28.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,446 | 68.0% | 37.8 pts (2,472 votes) | 6,543 | -1.9 pts | 25.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 11,334 | 48.3% of population |
| 2004 | 11,389 | 52.6% of population |
| 2008 | 11,038 | 53.0% of population |
| 2012 | 10,762 | 54.7% of population |
| 2016 | 10,642 | 54.0% of population |
| 2020 | 10,619 | 60.0% of population |
| 2024 | 10,774 | 60.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Guthrie shifted 32.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Guthrie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Iowa Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Guthrie voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Guthrie has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Guthrie?
Guthrie's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 6.5 points (347 votes) out of 5,469 total votes cast.
Has Guthrie ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Guthrie has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Guthrie?
The widest margin on record for Guthrie was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 38.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Guthrie relative to its population?
In 2024, 6,543 votes were recorded in Guthrie against a total population of 10,774 (60.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Guthrie a presidential bellwether county?
Guthrie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).