Cerro Gordo, Iowa — Presidential Election Results
Cerro Gordo, Iowa has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 1.6 pts more Dem. than Iowa overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Iowa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 12,185 | 55.0% | 12.6 pts (2,788 votes) | 22,162 | — | 12.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 13,372 | 54.5% | 9.8 pts (2,412 votes) | 24,516 | -3.0 pts | 10.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 14,405 | 59.7% | 20.8 pts (5,030 votes) | 24,140 | +11.2 pts | 11.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,316 | 55.9% | 13.4 pts (3,188 votes) | 23,824 | -7.6 pts | 7.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 11,621 | 50.6% | 7.7 pts (1,759 votes) | 22,965 | -21.8 pts | 1.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,499 | 52.5% | 6.5 pts (1,558 votes) | 23,801 | +1.5 pts | 2.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,627 | 54.9% | 11.6 pts (2,672 votes) | 23,020 | -5.2 pts | 1.6 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 46,389 | 47.8% of population |
| 2004 | 44,993 | 54.5% of population |
| 2008 | 44,285 | 54.5% of population |
| 2012 | 43,699 | 54.5% of population |
| 2016 | 43,096 | 53.3% of population |
| 2020 | 43,021 | 55.3% of population |
| 2024 | 42,493 | 54.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cerro Gordo shifted 24.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Cerro Gordo has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Iowa Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Cerro Gordo voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Cerro Gordo has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Cerro Gordo?
Cerro Gordo's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 6.6 points (1,558 votes) out of 23,801 total votes cast.
Has Cerro Gordo ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Cerro Gordo changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cerro Gordo?
The widest margin on record for Cerro Gordo was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 21.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Cerro Gordo relative to its population?
In 2024, 23,020 votes were recorded in Cerro Gordo against a total population of 42,493 (54.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Cerro Gordo a presidential bellwether county?
Cerro Gordo has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Iowa's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).