Vermilion, Illinois — Presidential Election Results
Vermilion, Illinois has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 47.4 pts more Rep. than Illinois overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,783 | 49.2% | 1.2 pts (377 votes) | 32,100 | — | 13.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,731 | 55.6% | 11.9 pts (4,005 votes) | 33,714 | -10.8 pts | 22.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 16,246 | 49.4% | 0.6 pts (192 votes) | 32,872 | +12.6 pts | 24.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 16,892 | 55.7% | 13.2 pts (4,014 votes) | 30,314 | -14.1 pts | 30.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 19,087 | 62.4% | 29.6 pts (9,048 votes) | 30,570 | -17.6 pts | 49.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 20,725 | 65.6% | 32.9 pts (10,402 votes) | 31,584 | -2.4 pts | 50.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,777 | 66.9% | 35.6 pts (10,523 votes) | 29,549 | -2.7 pts | 47.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 83,821 | 38.3% of population |
| 2004 | 82,955 | 40.6% of population |
| 2008 | 81,930 | 40.1% of population |
| 2012 | 80,862 | 37.5% of population |
| 2016 | 78,494 | 38.9% of population |
| 2020 | 74,010 | 42.7% of population |
| 2024 | 71,106 | 41.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Vermilion shifted 35.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Vermilion has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Illinois Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Vermilion voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Vermilion has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Vermilion?
Vermilion's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 0.6 points (192 votes) out of 32,872 total votes cast.
Has Vermilion ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Vermilion changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Vermilion?
The widest margin on record for Vermilion was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 36.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Vermilion relative to its population?
In 2024, 29,549 votes were recorded in Vermilion against a total population of 71,106 (41.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Vermilion a presidential bellwether county?
Vermilion has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).