Hardin, Illinois — Presidential Election Results
Hardin, Illinois has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 73.6 pts more Rep. than Illinois overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,366 | 51.8% | 6.9 pts (182 votes) | 2,637 | — | 19.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,501 | 61.6% | 23.7 pts (578 votes) | 2,437 | -16.7 pts | 34.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,330 | 59.0% | 19.4 pts (438 votes) | 2,255 | +4.1 pts | 45.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,535 | 65.9% | 34.0 pts (793 votes) | 2,330 | -15.1 pts | 52.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,653 | 77.0% | 57.4 pts (1,233 votes) | 2,148 | -24.7 pts | 77.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,691 | 78.2% | 57.4 pts (1,242 votes) | 2,162 | +1.4 pts | 75.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,546 | 80.3% | 61.7 pts (1,189 votes) | 1,926 | -4.4 pts | 73.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 4,777 | 55.2% of population |
| 2004 | 4,664 | 52.3% of population |
| 2008 | 4,386 | 51.4% of population |
| 2012 | 4,281 | 54.4% of population |
| 2016 | 3,991 | 53.8% of population |
| 2020 | 3,646 | 59.3% of population |
| 2024 | 3,550 | 54.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hardin shifted 55.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hardin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Illinois Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hardin voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hardin has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hardin?
Hardin's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 7.1 points (182 votes) out of 2,637 total votes cast.
Has Hardin ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hardin has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hardin?
The widest margin on record for Hardin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 62.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Hardin relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,926 votes were recorded in Hardin against a total population of 3,550 (54.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hardin a presidential bellwether county?
Hardin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).