Effingham, Illinois — Presidential Election Results
Effingham, Illinois has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 72.5 pts more Rep. than Illinois overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,855 | 68.0% | 38.9 pts (5,630 votes) | 14,485 | — | 52.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,774 | 72.3% | 45.4 pts (7,386 votes) | 16,278 | -5.7 pts | 56.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 11,323 | 67.3% | 36.0 pts (6,061 votes) | 16,835 | +9.2 pts | 62.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,501 | 75.2% | 52.0 pts (8,640 votes) | 16,613 | -16.3 pts | 70.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,635 | 77.4% | 59.9 pts (10,552 votes) | 17,609 | -10.3 pts | 81.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,006 | 78.8% | 59.3 pts (11,290 votes) | 19,049 | +2.8 pts | 77.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,124 | 79.2% | 60.3 pts (11,507 votes) | 19,084 | -1.1 pts | 72.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 34,248 | 42.3% of population |
| 2004 | 34,497 | 47.2% of population |
| 2008 | 34,173 | 49.3% of population |
| 2012 | 34,273 | 48.5% of population |
| 2016 | 34,170 | 51.5% of population |
| 2020 | 34,707 | 54.9% of population |
| 2024 | 34,602 | 55.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Effingham shifted 21.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Effingham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Illinois Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Effingham voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Effingham has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Effingham?
Effingham's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 36.5 points (6,061 votes) out of 16,835 total votes cast.
Has Effingham ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Effingham has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Effingham?
The widest margin on record for Effingham was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 63.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Effingham relative to its population?
In 2024, 19,084 votes were recorded in Effingham against a total population of 34,602 (55.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Effingham a presidential bellwether county?
Effingham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).