Coles, Illinois — Presidential Election Results

Coles, Illinois has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 40.1 pts more Rep. than Illinois overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Illinois
2000 George W. Bush Republican 10,495 52.2% 7.9 pts (1,591 votes) 20,093 — 20.6 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 13,015 57.1% 15.1 pts (3,449 votes) 22,780 -7.1 pts 25.7 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 11,716 50.8% 3.2 pts (738 votes) 23,076 +18.5 pts 22.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 11,631 54.5% 11.1 pts (2,369 votes) 21,358 -14.6 pts 28.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 13,003 59.5% 26.0 pts (5,694 votes) 21,863 -16.7 pts 46.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 14,037 62.1% 26.4 pts (5,970 votes) 22,606 +1.0 pts 44.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 13,606 63.3% 28.4 pts (6,111 votes) 21,507 -2.0 pts 40.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 53,114 37.8% of population
2004 53,182 42.8% of population
2008 53,454 43.2% of population
2012 53,318 40.1% of population
2016 51,783 42.2% of population
2020 47,084 48.0% of population
2024 46,423 46.3% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Coles shifted 20.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+8.2 pts 2004: R+15.3 pts 2008: D+3.3 pts 2012: R+11.3 pts 2016: R+28.0 pts 2020: R+27.0 pts 2024: R+29.0 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Coles has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Illinois Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Coles voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Coles has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Coles?

Coles's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 3.3 points (738 votes) out of 23,076 total votes cast.

Has Coles ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Coles changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Coles?

The widest margin on record for Coles was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 29.0 points.

How many votes were cast in Coles relative to its population?

In 2024, 21,507 votes were recorded in Coles against a total population of 46,423 (46.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Coles a presidential bellwether county?

Coles has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Illinois's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).