Jerome, Idaho — Presidential Election Results
Jerome, Idaho has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 17.5 pts more Rep. than Idaho overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Idaho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,418 | 73.5% | 50.9 pts (3,058 votes) | 6,007 | — | 11.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,177 | 78.7% | 58.3 pts (3,833 votes) | 6,580 | -5.9 pts | 20.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,897 | 71.5% | 45.3 pts (3,103 votes) | 6,847 | +12.4 pts | 20.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,804 | 71.9% | 46.5 pts (3,105 votes) | 6,681 | -1.4 pts | 14.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,644 | 68.8% | 49.1 pts (3,315 votes) | 6,751 | -7.8 pts | 18.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,734 | 73.4% | 49.2 pts (3,841 votes) | 7,812 | +5.1 pts | 18.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,012 | 75.7% | 53.7 pts (4,270 votes) | 7,946 | -4.7 pts | 17.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 18,493 | 32.5% of population |
| 2004 | 19,331 | 34.0% of population |
| 2008 | 21,217 | 32.3% of population |
| 2012 | 22,578 | 29.6% of population |
| 2016 | 23,433 | 28.8% of population |
| 2020 | 24,268 | 32.2% of population |
| 2024 | 26,056 | 30.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Jerome shifted 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Jerome has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Idaho's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Idaho Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Jerome voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Jerome has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Jerome?
Jerome's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 46.4 points (3,103 votes) out of 6,847 total votes cast.
Has Jerome ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Jerome has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Jerome?
The widest margin on record for Jerome was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 58.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Jerome relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,946 votes were recorded in Jerome against a total population of 26,056 (30.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Jerome a presidential bellwether county?
Jerome has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Idaho's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).