Bear Lake, Idaho — Presidential Election Results
Bear Lake, Idaho has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 41.2 pts more Rep. than Idaho overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Idaho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,296 | 79.2% | 61.4 pts (1,779 votes) | 2,899 | — | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,506 | 82.4% | 66.2 pts (2,012 votes) | 3,040 | -3.8 pts | 28.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,377 | 80.8% | 63.7 pts (1,875 votes) | 2,943 | +1.9 pts | 39.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,489 | 88.2% | 77.5 pts (2,187 votes) | 2,822 | -13.2 pts | 45.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,203 | 75.2% | 59.2 pts (1,733 votes) | 2,928 | -0.9 pts | 42.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,914 | 87.9% | 77.3 pts (2,564 votes) | 3,315 | +0.7 pts | 46.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,908 | 87.5% | 77.1 pts (2,562 votes) | 3,325 | -0.2 pts | 41.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,424 | 45.1% of population |
| 2004 | 6,170 | 49.3% of population |
| 2008 | 6,027 | 48.8% of population |
| 2012 | 5,892 | 47.9% of population |
| 2016 | 5,927 | 49.4% of population |
| 2020 | 6,367 | 52.1% of population |
| 2024 | 6,779 | 49.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Bear Lake shifted 15.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Bear Lake has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Idaho's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Idaho Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Bear Lake voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Bear Lake has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Bear Lake?
Bear Lake's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 63.2 points (1,779 votes) out of 2,899 total votes cast.
Has Bear Lake ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Bear Lake has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Bear Lake?
The widest margin on record for Bear Lake was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 79.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Bear Lake relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,325 votes were recorded in Bear Lake against a total population of 6,779 (49.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Bear Lake a presidential bellwether county?
Bear Lake has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Idaho's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).