Elmore, Idaho — Presidential Election Results
Elmore, Idaho has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 12.3 pts more Rep. than Idaho overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Idaho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,891 | 70.2% | 43.8 pts (3,051 votes) | 6,966 | — | 3.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,011 | 74.6% | 50.3 pts (4,052 votes) | 8,059 | -5.5 pts | 12.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,665 | 67.2% | 36.4 pts (3,074 votes) | 8,436 | +13.6 pts | 11.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 5,227 | 65.3% | 33.9 pts (2,714 votes) | 8,001 | +2.2 pts | 2.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,816 | 68.2% | 47.0 pts (4,002 votes) | 8,522 | -17.4 pts | 15.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,246 | 71.0% | 45.5 pts (4,645 votes) | 10,205 | +5.3 pts | 15.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,791 | 73.0% | 48.5 pts (5,180 votes) | 10,672 | -2.6 pts | 12.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 28,610 | 24.3% of population |
| 2004 | 26,355 | 30.6% of population |
| 2008 | 26,930 | 31.3% of population |
| 2012 | 26,287 | 30.4% of population |
| 2016 | 26,137 | 32.6% of population |
| 2020 | 28,680 | 35.6% of population |
| 2024 | 29,729 | 35.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Elmore shifted 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Elmore has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Idaho's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Idaho Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Elmore voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Elmore has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Elmore?
Elmore's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 35.1 points (2,714 votes) out of 8,001 total votes cast.
Has Elmore ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Elmore has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Elmore?
The widest margin on record for Elmore was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 52.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Elmore relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,672 votes were recorded in Elmore against a total population of 29,729 (35.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Elmore a presidential bellwether county?
Elmore has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Idaho's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).