Tuolumne, California — Presidential Election Results
Tuolumne, California has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 43.2 pts more Rep. than California overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. California |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 13,172 | 55.5% | 16.1 pts (3,813 votes) | 23,727 | — | 29.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,745 | 60.1% | 21.5 pts (5,641 votes) | 26,188 | -4.9 pts | 31.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 14,988 | 55.1% | 12.7 pts (3,456 votes) | 27,181 | +8.8 pts | 37.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 13,880 | 56.2% | 15.7 pts (3,882 votes) | 24,687 | -3.2 pts | 40.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 14,551 | 57.0% | 21.3 pts (5,428 votes) | 25,529 | -6.7 pts | 55.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,689 | 58.2% | 18.8 pts (5,711 votes) | 30,408 | +3.7 pts | 49.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,210 | 59.7% | 21.9 pts (6,301 votes) | 28,810 | -3.2 pts | 43.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 54,658 | 43.4% of population |
| 2004 | 56,602 | 46.3% of population |
| 2008 | 56,320 | 48.3% of population |
| 2012 | 54,221 | 45.5% of population |
| 2016 | 53,770 | 47.5% of population |
| 2020 | 55,397 | 54.9% of population |
| 2024 | 53,893 | 53.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Tuolumne shifted 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Tuolumne has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other California Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Tuolumne voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Tuolumne has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Tuolumne?
Tuolumne's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 13.0 points (3,456 votes) out of 27,181 total votes cast.
Has Tuolumne ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Tuolumne has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Tuolumne?
The widest margin on record for Tuolumne was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 22.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Tuolumne relative to its population?
In 2024, 28,810 votes were recorded in Tuolumne against a total population of 53,893 (53.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Tuolumne a presidential bellwether county?
Tuolumne has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).