Calaveras, California — Presidential Election Results
Calaveras, California has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 49.6 pts more Rep. than California overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. California |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,599 | 56.2% | 18.6 pts (3,506 votes) | 18,876 | — | 32.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 13,601 | 61.0% | 23.8 pts (5,315 votes) | 22,306 | -4.5 pts | 34.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 12,835 | 55.1% | 13.0 pts (3,022 votes) | 23,306 | +10.9 pts | 37.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,365 | 56.8% | 17.0 pts (3,695 votes) | 21,786 | -4.2 pts | 41.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,511 | 58.4% | 24.1 pts (5,567 votes) | 23,136 | -8.4 pts | 58.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,518 | 60.8% | 23.8 pts (6,472 votes) | 27,164 | +1.6 pts | 54.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,625 | 62.8% | 28.1 pts (7,444 votes) | 26,480 | -4.5 pts | 49.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 40,645 | 46.4% of population |
| 2004 | 44,530 | 50.1% of population |
| 2008 | 46,265 | 50.4% of population |
| 2012 | 44,815 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 45,322 | 51.0% of population |
| 2020 | 45,350 | 59.9% of population |
| 2024 | 46,505 | 56.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Calaveras shifted 9.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Calaveras has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other California Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Calaveras voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Calaveras has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Calaveras?
Calaveras's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 13.3 points (3,022 votes) out of 23,306 total votes cast.
Has Calaveras ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Calaveras has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Calaveras?
The widest margin on record for Calaveras was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 28.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Calaveras relative to its population?
In 2024, 26,480 votes were recorded in Calaveras against a total population of 46,505 (56.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Calaveras a presidential bellwether county?
Calaveras has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).