Tulare, California — Presidential Election Results
Tulare, California has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 42.0 pts more Rep. than California overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. California |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 54,070 | 60.2% | 23.5 pts (21,064 votes) | 89,818 | — | 36.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 65,399 | 66.2% | 33.3 pts (32,905 votes) | 98,739 | -9.4 pts | 43.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 59,765 | 56.8% | 15.3 pts (16,131 votes) | 105,206 | +18.0 pts | 40.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 56,956 | 56.3% | 15.0 pts (15,204 votes) | 101,100 | +0.2 pts | 39.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 58,299 | 51.9% | 9.5 pts (10,714 votes) | 112,334 | +5.3 pts | 42.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 77,579 | 52.8% | 7.8 pts (11,474 votes) | 146,885 | +2.1 pts | 37.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 81,854 | 59.2% | 20.7 pts (28,633 votes) | 138,271 | -13.2 pts | 42.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 368,627 | 24.4% of population |
| 2004 | 398,226 | 24.8% of population |
| 2008 | 429,283 | 24.5% of population |
| 2012 | 449,779 | 22.5% of population |
| 2016 | 459,235 | 24.5% of population |
| 2020 | 473,944 | 31.0% of population |
| 2024 | 483,546 | 28.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Tulare shifted 3.0 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Tulare has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other California Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Tulare voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Tulare has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Tulare?
Tulare's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 8.0 points (11,474 votes) out of 146,885 total votes cast.
Has Tulare ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Tulare has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Tulare?
The widest margin on record for Tulare was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 33.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Tulare relative to its population?
In 2024, 138,271 votes were recorded in Tulare against a total population of 483,546 (28.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Tulare a presidential bellwether county?
Tulare has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).