Trinity, California — Presidential Election Results
Trinity, California has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 30.6 pts more Rep. than California overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. California |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,340 | 57.6% | 24.3 pts (1,408 votes) | 5,797 | — | 39.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,560 | 54.9% | 12.0 pts (778 votes) | 6,479 | +14.4 pts | 22.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 3,233 | 50.7% | 4.6 pts (293 votes) | 6,374 | +17.0 pts | 19.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,716 | 47.9% | 0.7 pts (42 votes) | 5,674 | -5.5 pts | 24.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,812 | 49.5% | 10.5 pts (598 votes) | 5,686 | -11.1 pts | 44.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,188 | 50.9% | 5.4 pts (337 votes) | 6,259 | +6.3 pts | 35.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,979 | 52.8% | 9.4 pts (530 votes) | 5,645 | -4.2 pts | 30.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 12,980 | 44.7% of population |
| 2004 | 13,159 | 49.2% of population |
| 2008 | 13,656 | 46.7% of population |
| 2012 | 13,489 | 42.1% of population |
| 2016 | 12,828 | 44.3% of population |
| 2020 | 16,095 | 38.9% of population |
| 2024 | 15,642 | 36.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Trinity shifted 16.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Trinity has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and California's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other California Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Trinity voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Trinity has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Trinity?
Trinity's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 0.8 points (42 votes) out of 5,674 total votes cast.
Has Trinity ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Trinity changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Trinity?
The widest margin on record for Trinity was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 26.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Trinity relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,645 votes were recorded in Trinity against a total population of 15,642 (36.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Trinity a presidential bellwether county?
Trinity has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and California's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).