Shasta, California — Presidential Election Results
Shasta, California has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 58.2 pts more Rep. than California overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. California |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 43,278 | 65.0% | 34.8 pts (23,151 votes) | 66,544 | — | 48.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 52,249 | 67.4% | 36.0 pts (27,910 votes) | 77,571 | +0.1 pts | 46.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 49,588 | 61.7% | 25.8 pts (20,721 votes) | 80,390 | +10.0 pts | 51.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 48,067 | 63.0% | 29.1 pts (22,248 votes) | 76,335 | -3.7 pts | 53.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 51,778 | 64.7% | 36.8 pts (29,477 votes) | 80,053 | -9.7 pts | 72.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 60,789 | 65.4% | 33.1 pts (30,789 votes) | 92,930 | +5.9 pts | 63.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 59,539 | 67.0% | 36.5 pts (32,409 votes) | 88,900 | -3.5 pts | 58.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 163,615 | 40.7% of population |
| 2004 | 174,867 | 44.4% of population |
| 2008 | 177,247 | 45.4% of population |
| 2012 | 177,875 | 42.9% of population |
| 2016 | 178,571 | 44.8% of population |
| 2020 | 182,190 | 51.0% of population |
| 2024 | 181,121 | 49.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Shasta shifted 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Shasta has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other California Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Shasta voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Shasta has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Shasta?
Shasta's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 26.4 points (20,721 votes) out of 80,390 total votes cast.
Has Shasta ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Shasta has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Shasta?
The widest margin on record for Shasta was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 39.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Shasta relative to its population?
In 2024, 88,900 votes were recorded in Shasta against a total population of 181,121 (49.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Shasta a presidential bellwether county?
Shasta has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).