Santa Cruz, California — Presidential Election Results

Santa Cruz, California has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 35.8 pts more Dem. than California overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. California
2000 Al Gore Democratic 66,618 61.5% 34.1 pts (36,991 votes) 108,350 — 26.0 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 89,102 73.2% 48.3 pts (58,748 votes) 121,733 +10.7 pts 39.1 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 98,745 77.5% 57.7 pts (73,501 votes) 127,483 +10.1 pts 34.7 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 90,805 75.6% 55.6 pts (66,758 votes) 120,095 -1.2 pts 34.4 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 95,249 73.9% 56.5 pts (72,811 votes) 128,821 +3.7 pts 29.6 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 114,246 78.9% 60.3 pts (87,309 votes) 144,837 -0.0 pts 32.0 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 100,998 75.3% 54.4 pts (73,020 votes) 134,135 -5.2 pts 35.8 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 255,835 42.4% of population
2004 252,356 48.2% of population
2008 256,520 49.7% of population
2012 266,340 45.1% of population
2016 274,396 46.9% of population
2020 271,768 53.3% of population
2024 262,406 51.1% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Santa Cruz shifted 18.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+38.4 pts 2004: D+49.2 pts 2008: D+59.3 pts 2012: D+58.1 pts 2016: D+61.9 pts 2020: D+61.8 pts 2024: D+56.6 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Santa Cruz has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other California Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Santa Cruz voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Santa Cruz has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Santa Cruz?

Santa Cruz's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 38.4 points (36,991 votes) out of 108,350 total votes cast.

Has Santa Cruz ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Santa Cruz has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Santa Cruz?

The widest margin on record for Santa Cruz was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 61.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Santa Cruz relative to its population?

In 2024, 134,135 votes were recorded in Santa Cruz against a total population of 262,406 (51.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Santa Cruz a presidential bellwether county?

Santa Cruz has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).