San Mateo, California — Presidential Election Results

San Mateo, California has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 31.3 pts more Dem. than California overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. California
2000 Al Gore Democratic 166,757 64.3% 33.3 pts (86,461 votes) 259,399 — 22.6 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 197,922 69.7% 40.3 pts (114,607 votes) 284,077 +5.8 pts 30.7 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 222,826 73.5% 48.7 pts (147,769 votes) 303,292 +8.9 pts 25.0 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 206,085 72.1% 46.7 pts (133,329 votes) 285,720 -1.8 pts 24.1 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 237,882 75.7% 57.2 pts (179,953 votes) 314,384 +13.0 pts 28.6 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 291,496 77.9% 57.7 pts (215,912 votes) 374,251 -2.0 pts 29.0 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 242,957 73.5% 50.3 pts (166,341 votes) 330,510 -6.8 pts 31.3 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 707,820 36.6% of population
2004 690,161 41.2% of population
2008 703,830 43.1% of population
2012 739,224 38.7% of population
2016 767,906 40.9% of population
2020 762,727 49.1% of population
2024 742,893 44.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in San Mateo shifted 17.1 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+35.0 pts 2004: D+40.8 pts 2008: D+49.6 pts 2012: D+47.8 pts 2016: D+60.8 pts 2020: D+58.8 pts 2024: D+52.1 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

San Mateo has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other California Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has San Mateo voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, San Mateo has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in San Mateo?

San Mateo's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 35.0 points (86,461 votes) out of 259,399 total votes cast.

Has San Mateo ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- San Mateo has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in San Mateo?

The widest margin on record for San Mateo was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 60.8 points.

How many votes were cast in San Mateo relative to its population?

In 2024, 330,510 votes were recorded in San Mateo against a total population of 742,893 (44.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is San Mateo a presidential bellwether county?

San Mateo has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).