San Diego, California — Presidential Election Results

San Diego, California has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 3.5 pts more Rep. than California overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. California
2000 George W. Bush Republican 475,736 49.6% 4.0 pts (38,070 votes) 958,634 — 16.6 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 596,033 52.6% 6.1 pts (69,596 votes) 1,133,584 -2.0 pts 16.3 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 666,581 54.1% 10.2 pts (125,549 votes) 1,231,047 +16.6 pts 14.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 626,957 52.6% 7.6 pts (90,231 votes) 1,192,282 -2.6 pts 16.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 735,476 56.3% 19.7 pts (257,710 votes) 1,306,400 +13.5 pts 11.0 pts more Rep.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 964,650 60.2% 22.8 pts (364,556 votes) 1,602,143 +2.1 pts 6.5 pts more Rep.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 841,372 56.9% 16.8 pts (248,102 votes) 1,477,786 -6.0 pts 3.5 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 2,827,366 33.9% of population
2004 2,930,007 38.7% of population
2008 3,022,116 40.7% of population
2012 3,174,335 37.6% of population
2016 3,306,089 39.5% of population
2020 3,301,182 48.5% of population
2024 3,298,799 44.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in San Diego shifted 21.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+4.2 pts 2004: R+6.2 pts 2008: D+10.4 pts 2012: D+7.8 pts 2016: D+21.2 pts 2020: D+23.3 pts 2024: D+17.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

San Diego has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and California's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other California Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has San Diego voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, San Diego has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in San Diego?

San Diego's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 4.2 points (38,070 votes) out of 958,634 total votes cast.

Has San Diego ever flipped between parties?

Yes. San Diego changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in San Diego?

The widest margin on record for San Diego was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 23.3 points.

How many votes were cast in San Diego relative to its population?

In 2024, 1,477,786 votes were recorded in San Diego against a total population of 3,298,799 (44.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is San Diego a presidential bellwether county?

San Diego has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and California's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).