Monterey, California — Presidential Election Results

Monterey, California has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 10.0 pts more Dem. than California overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. California
2000 Al Gore Democratic 67,618 57.5% 20.3 pts (23,857 votes) 117,534 — 9.0 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 75,241 60.4% 22.0 pts (27,403 votes) 124,544 +0.8 pts 12.2 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 88,453 68.2% 38.3 pts (49,656 votes) 129,783 +16.8 pts 14.5 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 82,920 67.1% 36.9 pts (45,530 votes) 123,518 -1.2 pts 14.1 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 89,088 66.8% 40.6 pts (54,193 votes) 133,408 +5.9 pts 11.5 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 113,953 69.5% 41.3 pts (67,654 votes) 163,923 -1.5 pts 12.4 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 93,060 63.4% 29.9 pts (43,834 votes) 146,718 -11.4 pts 10.0 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 402,990 29.2% of population
2004 408,731 30.5% of population
2008 406,022 32.0% of population
2012 424,788 29.1% of population
2016 433,953 30.7% of population
2020 440,506 37.2% of population
2024 436,251 33.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Monterey shifted 9.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+21.4 pts 2004: D+22.3 pts 2008: D+39.0 pts 2012: D+37.8 pts 2016: D+43.7 pts 2020: D+42.2 pts 2024: D+30.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Monterey has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other California Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Monterey voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Monterey has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Monterey?

Monterey's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 21.4 points (23,857 votes) out of 117,534 total votes cast.

Has Monterey ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Monterey has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Monterey?

The widest margin on record for Monterey was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 43.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Monterey relative to its population?

In 2024, 146,718 votes were recorded in Monterey against a total population of 436,251 (33.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Monterey a presidential bellwether county?

Monterey has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).