Modoc, California — Presidential Election Results
Modoc, California has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 69.0 pts more Rep. than California overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. California |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,969 | 72.3% | 49.3 pts (2,024 votes) | 4,107 | — | 64.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,235 | 72.6% | 46.8 pts (2,086 votes) | 4,456 | +4.1 pts | 57.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,981 | 67.4% | 37.7 pts (1,668 votes) | 4,420 | +8.7 pts | 63.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,777 | 69.7% | 41.8 pts (1,666 votes) | 3,986 | -4.0 pts | 66.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,696 | 71.2% | 48.0 pts (1,819 votes) | 3,788 | -8.1 pts | 83.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,109 | 71.6% | 45.1 pts (1,959 votes) | 4,343 | +4.9 pts | 75.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,884 | 71.8% | 46.7 pts (1,876 votes) | 4,016 | -2.2 pts | 69.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 9,406 | 43.7% of population |
| 2004 | 9,605 | 46.4% of population |
| 2008 | 9,551 | 46.3% of population |
| 2012 | 9,351 | 42.6% of population |
| 2016 | 8,961 | 42.3% of population |
| 2020 | 8,677 | 50.1% of population |
| 2024 | 8,491 | 47.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Modoc shifted 3.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Modoc has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other California Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Modoc voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Modoc has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Modoc?
Modoc's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 38.8 points (1,668 votes) out of 4,420 total votes cast.
Has Modoc ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Modoc has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Modoc?
The widest margin on record for Modoc was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 51.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Modoc relative to its population?
In 2024, 4,016 votes were recorded in Modoc against a total population of 8,491 (47.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Modoc a presidential bellwether county?
Modoc has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and California's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).