Mendocino, California — Presidential Election Results

Mendocino, California has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 7.2 pts more Dem. than California overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. California
2000 Al Gore Democratic 16,634 48.3% 12.7 pts (4,362 votes) 34,410 — 2.7 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 24,385 63.9% 29.9 pts (11,430 votes) 38,179 +15.5 pts 20.5 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 27,843 69.6% 42.8 pts (17,122 votes) 40,016 +13.8 pts 19.8 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 23,193 66.2% 38.7 pts (13,535 votes) 35,017 -3.2 pts 17.5 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 22,079 58.9% 29.9 pts (11,191 votes) 37,477 -7.3 pts 1.7 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 28,782 66.4% 35.8 pts (15,515 votes) 43,340 +3.0 pts 7.1 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 24,049 61.3% 26.8 pts (10,521 votes) 39,216 -8.9 pts 7.2 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 86,407 39.8% of population
2004 88,030 43.4% of population
2008 87,468 45.7% of population
2012 87,288 40.1% of population
2016 87,285 42.9% of population
2020 91,362 47.4% of population
2024 89,175 44.0% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mendocino shifted 12.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+15.1 pts 2004: D+30.6 pts 2008: D+44.4 pts 2012: D+41.2 pts 2016: D+33.9 pts 2020: D+36.9 pts 2024: D+28.0 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Mendocino has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other California Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Mendocino voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Mendocino has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Mendocino?

Mendocino's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 15.1 points (4,362 votes) out of 34,410 total votes cast.

Has Mendocino ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Mendocino has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mendocino?

The widest margin on record for Mendocino was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 44.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Mendocino relative to its population?

In 2024, 39,216 votes were recorded in Mendocino against a total population of 89,175 (44.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Mendocino a presidential bellwether county?

Mendocino has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).