Marin, California — Presidential Election Results

Marin, California has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 44.9 pts more Dem. than California overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. California
2000 Al Gore Democratic 79,135 64.3% 35.9 pts (44,263 votes) 123,155 — 26.4 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 99,070 73.4% 47.9 pts (64,692 votes) 134,919 +9.7 pts 38.4 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 109,320 78.0% 57.7 pts (80,936 votes) 140,197 +10.3 pts 34.2 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 99,896 74.3% 51.3 pts (69,016 votes) 134,516 -6.0 pts 29.0 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 108,707 78.1% 62.4 pts (86,936 votes) 139,273 +13.9 pts 34.4 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 128,288 82.3% 66.5 pts (103,676 votes) 155,830 +1.2 pts 38.0 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 116,152 80.6% 63.9 pts (92,098 votes) 144,113 -2.1 pts 44.9 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 247,520 49.8% of population
2004 243,769 55.3% of population
2008 248,398 56.4% of population
2012 256,061 52.5% of population
2016 260,562 53.5% of population
2020 261,341 59.6% of population
2024 256,400 56.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Marin shifted 26.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+38.8 pts 2004: D+48.5 pts 2008: D+58.8 pts 2012: D+52.8 pts 2016: D+66.6 pts 2020: D+67.8 pts 2024: D+65.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Marin has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other California Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Marin voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Marin has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Marin?

Marin's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 38.8 points (44,263 votes) out of 123,155 total votes cast.

Has Marin ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Marin has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Marin?

The widest margin on record for Marin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 67.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Marin relative to its population?

In 2024, 144,113 votes were recorded in Marin against a total population of 256,400 (56.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Marin a presidential bellwether county?

Marin has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and California's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).