Wagoner, Oklahoma — Presidential Election Results
Wagoner, Oklahoma has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 15.7 pts more Rep. than Oklahoma overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,981 | 60.3% | 22.0 pts (4,737 votes) | 21,517 | — | 0.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,081 | 67.6% | 35.1 pts (9,924 votes) | 28,238 | -12.8 pts | 4.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 21,441 | 70.9% | 41.8 pts (12,631 votes) | 30,251 | -6.6 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 20,900 | 72.8% | 45.7 pts (13,109 votes) | 28,691 | -3.9 pts | 12.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 23,005 | 73.5% | 52.0 pts (16,282 votes) | 31,300 | -9.1 pts | 16.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 26,165 | 74.0% | 50.1 pts (17,701 votes) | 35,338 | +3.7 pts | 17.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 28,487 | 74.0% | 49.8 pts (19,157 votes) | 38,501 | +0.5 pts | 15.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 57,711 | 37.3% of population |
| 2004 | 62,800 | 45.0% of population |
| 2008 | 70,646 | 42.8% of population |
| 2012 | 74,984 | 38.3% of population |
| 2016 | 77,662 | 40.3% of population |
| 2020 | 81,401 | 43.4% of population |
| 2024 | 91,257 | 42.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Wagoner shifted 28.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Wagoner has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oklahoma Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Wagoner voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Wagoner has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Wagoner?
Wagoner's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 22.3 points (4,737 votes) out of 21,517 total votes cast.
Has Wagoner ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Wagoner has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Wagoner?
The widest margin on record for Wagoner was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 54.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Wagoner relative to its population?
In 2024, 38,501 votes were recorded in Wagoner against a total population of 91,257 (42.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Wagoner a presidential bellwether county?
Wagoner has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).