Payne, Oklahoma — Presidential Election Results
Payne, Oklahoma has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.0 pts more Dem. than Oklahoma overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,256 | 61.2% | 23.8 pts (5,937 votes) | 24,947 | — | 2.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,560 | 65.9% | 31.9 pts (9,459 votes) | 29,661 | -7.7 pts | 0.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 18,435 | 63.5% | 27.0 pts (7,834 votes) | 29,036 | +4.9 pts | 4.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 16,481 | 64.2% | 28.4 pts (7,283 votes) | 25,679 | -1.4 pts | 5.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 16,651 | 60.0% | 28.3 pts (7,863 votes) | 27,760 | -2.5 pts | 7.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,813 | 60.1% | 23.3 pts (6,909 votes) | 29,643 | +6.9 pts | 9.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,962 | 61.3% | 25.3 pts (7,402 votes) | 29,279 | -1.9 pts | 9.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 68,350 | 36.5% of population |
| 2004 | 72,244 | 41.1% of population |
| 2008 | 75,000 | 38.7% of population |
| 2012 | 78,725 | 32.6% of population |
| 2016 | 81,850 | 33.9% of population |
| 2020 | 81,649 | 36.3% of population |
| 2024 | 84,199 | 34.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Payne shifted 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Payne has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oklahoma Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Payne voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Payne has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Payne?
Payne's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 24.1 points (6,909 votes) out of 29,643 total votes cast.
Has Payne ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Payne has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Payne?
The widest margin on record for Payne was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 31.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Payne relative to its population?
In 2024, 29,279 votes were recorded in Payne against a total population of 84,199 (34.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Payne a presidential bellwether county?
Payne has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).