Muskogee, Oklahoma — Presidential Election Results
Muskogee, Oklahoma has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 3.3 pts more Rep. than Oklahoma overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 12,520 | 50.7% | 2.8 pts (700 votes) | 24,693 | — | 25.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,124 | 54.6% | 9.2 pts (2,539 votes) | 27,709 | -12.0 pts | 22.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 15,289 | 57.5% | 15.0 pts (3,995 votes) | 26,583 | -5.9 pts | 16.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 13,404 | 57.4% | 14.8 pts (3,452 votes) | 23,356 | +0.2 pts | 18.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 15,043 | 62.1% | 29.2 pts (7,066 votes) | 24,216 | -15.9 pts | 7.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,526 | 65.9% | 33.9 pts (8,499 votes) | 25,081 | -3.9 pts | 0.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,550 | 67.9% | 37.6 pts (9,150 votes) | 24,357 | -3.6 pts | 3.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 69,418 | 35.6% of population |
| 2004 | 69,592 | 39.8% of population |
| 2008 | 70,050 | 37.9% of population |
| 2012 | 70,529 | 33.1% of population |
| 2016 | 69,012 | 35.1% of population |
| 2020 | 66,245 | 37.9% of population |
| 2024 | 66,752 | 36.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Muskogee shifted 41.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Muskogee has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oklahoma Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Muskogee voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Muskogee has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Muskogee?
Muskogee's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 2.9 points (700 votes) out of 24,693 total votes cast.
Has Muskogee ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Muskogee changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Muskogee?
The widest margin on record for Muskogee was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 38.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Muskogee relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,357 votes were recorded in Muskogee against a total population of 66,752 (36.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Muskogee a presidential bellwether county?
Muskogee has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).