McIntosh, Oklahoma — Presidential Election Results
McIntosh, Oklahoma has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 18.5 pts more Rep. than Oklahoma overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 4,206 | 54.1% | 9.8 pts (762 votes) | 7,781 | — | 32.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,692 | 51.1% | 2.2 pts (204 votes) | 9,180 | -12.2 pts | 28.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,903 | 59.6% | 19.3 pts (1,583 votes) | 8,223 | -17.0 pts | 12.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,509 | 61.9% | 23.7 pts (1,730 votes) | 7,288 | -4.5 pts | 9.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,505 | 69.1% | 42.5 pts (3,382 votes) | 7,963 | -20.6 pts | 5.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,172 | 74.0% | 49.7 pts (4,141 votes) | 8,335 | -6.1 pts | 16.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,387 | 75.7% | 52.7 pts (4,450 votes) | 8,439 | -3.0 pts | 18.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 19,432 | 40.0% of population |
| 2004 | 19,597 | 46.8% of population |
| 2008 | 19,952 | 41.2% of population |
| 2012 | 20,197 | 36.1% of population |
| 2016 | 19,766 | 40.3% of population |
| 2020 | 18,950 | 44.0% of population |
| 2024 | 19,710 | 42.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in McIntosh shifted 63.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
McIntosh has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oklahoma Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has McIntosh voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, McIntosh has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in McIntosh?
McIntosh's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 2.2 points (204 votes) out of 9,180 total votes cast.
Has McIntosh ever flipped between parties?
Yes. McIntosh changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in McIntosh?
The widest margin on record for McIntosh was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 53.5 points.
How many votes were cast in McIntosh relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,439 votes were recorded in McIntosh against a total population of 19,710 (42.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is McIntosh a presidential bellwether county?
McIntosh has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Oklahoma's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).