Vermillion, Indiana — Presidential Election Results
Vermillion, Indiana has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 26.4 pts more Rep. than Indiana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 3,370 | 50.8% | 3.6 pts (240 votes) | 6,633 | — | 19.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,536 | 50.4% | 1.6 pts (112 votes) | 7,017 | -5.3 pts | 19.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 4,003 | 56.1% | 13.9 pts (993 votes) | 7,135 | +15.8 pts | 13.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,426 | 52.1% | 6.8 pts (447 votes) | 6,581 | -21.1 pts | 3.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,513 | 65.0% | 35.0 pts (2,432 votes) | 6,939 | -29.9 pts | 16.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,184 | 69.3% | 40.6 pts (3,039 votes) | 7,481 | -4.6 pts | 25.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,174 | 71.3% | 44.7 pts (3,246 votes) | 7,256 | -4.2 pts | 26.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 16,772 | 39.5% of population |
| 2004 | 16,515 | 42.5% of population |
| 2008 | 16,387 | 43.5% of population |
| 2012 | 15,923 | 41.3% of population |
| 2016 | 15,593 | 44.5% of population |
| 2020 | 15,400 | 48.6% of population |
| 2024 | 15,516 | 46.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Vermillion shifted 49.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Vermillion has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Indiana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Vermillion voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Vermillion has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Vermillion?
Vermillion's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.6 points (112 votes) out of 7,017 total votes cast.
Has Vermillion ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Vermillion changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Vermillion?
The widest margin on record for Vermillion was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 45.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Vermillion relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,256 votes were recorded in Vermillion against a total population of 15,516 (46.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Vermillion a presidential bellwether county?
Vermillion has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).