Jefferson, Indiana — Presidential Election Results

Jefferson, Indiana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 17.5 pts more Rep. than Indiana overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Indiana
2000 George W. Bush Republican 6,582 55.2% 12.3 pts (1,465 votes) 11,931 — 3.5 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 7,763 59.8% 20.4 pts (2,646 votes) 12,971 -8.0 pts 0.3 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 7,053 52.3% 5.9 pts (798 votes) 13,490 +14.5 pts 7.0 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 7,096 54.1% 10.4 pts (1,368 votes) 13,126 -4.7 pts 0.3 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 8,546 63.1% 31.2 pts (4,220 votes) 13,544 -22.1 pts 12.5 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 9,663 65.7% 33.6 pts (4,932 votes) 14,697 -1.5 pts 17.9 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 9,614 67.1% 36.1 pts (5,172 votes) 14,327 -2.5 pts 17.5 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 31,706 37.6% of population
2004 31,787 40.8% of population
2008 32,586 41.4% of population
2012 32,436 40.5% of population
2016 32,230 42.0% of population
2020 33,103 44.4% of population
2024 32,921 43.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Jefferson shifted 24.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+12.5 pts 2004: R+20.5 pts 2008: R+6.0 pts 2012: R+10.7 pts 2016: R+32.8 pts 2020: R+34.3 pts 2024: R+36.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Jefferson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Indiana Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Jefferson voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Jefferson has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Jefferson?

Jefferson's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 6.0 points (798 votes) out of 13,490 total votes cast.

Has Jefferson ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Jefferson has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Jefferson?

The widest margin on record for Jefferson was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 36.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Jefferson relative to its population?

In 2024, 14,327 votes were recorded in Jefferson against a total population of 32,921 (43.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Jefferson a presidential bellwether county?

Jefferson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).