Jay, Indiana — Presidential Election Results
Jay, Indiana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 36.8 pts more Rep. than Indiana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,687 | 58.4% | 18.9 pts (1,520 votes) | 8,030 | — | 3.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,427 | 65.9% | 32.6 pts (2,687 votes) | 8,232 | -13.5 pts | 12.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,401 | 52.9% | 7.9 pts (653 votes) | 8,315 | +24.9 pts | 9.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,645 | 58.8% | 20.0 pts (1,582 votes) | 7,901 | -12.5 pts | 10.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,697 | 71.3% | 47.7 pts (3,808 votes) | 7,986 | -29.7 pts | 30.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,361 | 75.2% | 52.4 pts (4,435 votes) | 8,461 | -3.3 pts | 37.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,217 | 76.7% | 55.2 pts (4,470 votes) | 8,103 | -2.6 pts | 36.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 21,792 | 36.8% of population |
| 2004 | 21,651 | 38.0% of population |
| 2008 | 21,467 | 38.7% of population |
| 2012 | 21,348 | 37.0% of population |
| 2016 | 21,017 | 38.0% of population |
| 2020 | 20,481 | 41.3% of population |
| 2024 | 20,164 | 40.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Jay shifted 36.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Jay has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Indiana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Jay voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Jay has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Jay?
Jay's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 8.0 points (653 votes) out of 8,315 total votes cast.
Has Jay ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Jay has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Jay?
The widest margin on record for Jay was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 56.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Jay relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,103 votes were recorded in Jay against a total population of 20,164 (40.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Jay a presidential bellwether county?
Jay has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).