Elkhart, Indiana — Presidential Election Results
Elkhart, Indiana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 13.5 pts more Rep. than Indiana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 36,756 | 67.5% | 37.4 pts (20,354 votes) | 54,482 | — | 22.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 42,967 | 70.0% | 40.7 pts (25,001 votes) | 61,380 | -2.7 pts | 20.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 39,396 | 55.1% | 11.2 pts (7,998 votes) | 71,458 | +29.7 pts | 12.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 42,378 | 62.5% | 26.5 pts (17,979 votes) | 67,852 | -15.6 pts | 16.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 41,867 | 63.8% | 32.2 pts (21,127 votes) | 65,630 | -6.8 pts | 13.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 46,972 | 63.1% | 28.0 pts (20,864 votes) | 74,387 | +5.2 pts | 12.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 45,652 | 65.4% | 32.4 pts (22,570 votes) | 69,765 | -4.3 pts | 13.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 183,412 | 29.7% of population |
| 2004 | 189,316 | 32.4% of population |
| 2008 | 197,762 | 36.1% of population |
| 2012 | 198,968 | 34.1% of population |
| 2016 | 203,642 | 32.2% of population |
| 2020 | 207,009 | 35.9% of population |
| 2024 | 207,436 | 33.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Elkhart shifted 5.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Elkhart has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Indiana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Elkhart voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Elkhart has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Elkhart?
Elkhart's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 11.3 points (7,998 votes) out of 71,458 total votes cast.
Has Elkhart ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Elkhart has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Elkhart?
The widest margin on record for Elkhart was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 41.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Elkhart relative to its population?
In 2024, 69,765 votes were recorded in Elkhart against a total population of 207,436 (33.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Elkhart a presidential bellwether county?
Elkhart has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).