Dearborn, Indiana — Presidential Election Results
Dearborn, Indiana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 39.9 pts more Rep. than Indiana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,452 | 64.9% | 30.8 pts (5,432 votes) | 17,650 | — | 15.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,231 | 67.9% | 36.4 pts (7,635 votes) | 20,969 | -5.6 pts | 15.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 14,886 | 67.0% | 34.9 pts (7,763 votes) | 22,217 | +1.4 pts | 36.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 15,394 | 68.9% | 39.7 pts (8,866 votes) | 22,356 | -5.2 pts | 30.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 18,113 | 75.5% | 55.2 pts (13,230 votes) | 23,987 | -17.1 pts | 37.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,528 | 76.9% | 55.5 pts (14,082 votes) | 25,383 | +1.1 pts | 40.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 20,844 | 78.4% | 58.3 pts (15,509 votes) | 26,600 | -2.9 pts | 39.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 46,349 | 38.1% of population |
| 2004 | 48,135 | 43.6% of population |
| 2008 | 49,643 | 44.8% of population |
| 2012 | 49,727 | 45.0% of population |
| 2016 | 49,436 | 48.5% of population |
| 2020 | 50,756 | 50.0% of population |
| 2024 | 51,435 | 51.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Dearborn shifted 28.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Dearborn has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Indiana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Dearborn voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Dearborn has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Dearborn?
Dearborn's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 31.1 points (5,432 votes) out of 17,650 total votes cast.
Has Dearborn ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Dearborn has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Dearborn?
The widest margin on record for Dearborn was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 59.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Dearborn relative to its population?
In 2024, 26,600 votes were recorded in Dearborn against a total population of 51,435 (51.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Dearborn a presidential bellwether county?
Dearborn has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Indiana's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).