Maui, Hawaii — Presidential Election Results
Maui, Hawaii has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 2.9 pts more Dem. than Hawaii overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Hawaii |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 23,484 | 59.8% | 27.0 pts (10,608 votes) | 39,248 | — | 9.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 28,803 | 60.7% | 22.4 pts (10,616 votes) | 47,430 | -6.6 pts | 13.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 39,727 | 76.7% | 55.2 pts (28,573 votes) | 51,789 | +33.6 pts | 10.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 36,052 | 74.1% | 50.3 pts (24,450 votes) | 48,653 | -4.8 pts | 7.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 33,480 | 64.5% | 38.6 pts (20,034 votes) | 51,945 | -8.6 pts | 7.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 47,305 | 66.6% | 35.4 pts (25,179 votes) | 71,044 | -6.4 pts | 6.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 38,905 | 61.9% | 25.9 pts (16,284 votes) | 62,893 | -9.8 pts | 2.9 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 128,933 | 30.4% of population |
| 2004 | 140,508 | 33.8% of population |
| 2008 | 151,325 | 34.2% of population |
| 2012 | 158,889 | 30.6% of population |
| 2016 | 165,350 | 31.4% of population |
| 2020 | 164,802 | 43.1% of population |
| 2024 | 163,688 | 38.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Maui shifted 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Maui has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Hawaii's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Hawaii Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Maui voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Maui has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Maui?
Maui's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 22.6 points (10,616 votes) out of 47,430 total votes cast.
Has Maui ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Maui has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Maui?
The widest margin on record for Maui was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 56.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Maui relative to its population?
In 2024, 62,893 votes were recorded in Maui against a total population of 163,688 (38.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Maui a presidential bellwether county?
Maui has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Hawaii's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).