New Haven, Connecticut — Presidential Election Results
New Haven, Connecticut has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 2.6 pts more Rep. than Connecticut overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Connecticut |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 197,928 | 58.0% | 22.0 pts (75,009 votes) | 341,099 | — | 4.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 199,060 | 54.3% | 10.6 pts (38,670 votes) | 366,392 | -12.6 pts | 0.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 232,820 | 61.0% | 23.1 pts (88,355 votes) | 381,739 | +12.7 pts | 0.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 218,972 | 60.7% | 22.3 pts (80,615 votes) | 361,026 | -0.9 pts | 5.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 205,609 | 54.2% | 12.3 pts (46,561 votes) | 379,006 | -9.8 pts | 1.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 242,630 | 58.0% | 17.4 pts (72,737 votes) | 417,983 | +4.9 pts | 2.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 218,981 | 55.0% | 11.9 pts (47,546 votes) | 397,987 | -5.5 pts | 2.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 824,911 | 41.3% of population |
| 2004 | 844,505 | 43.4% of population |
| 2008 | 856,622 | 44.6% of population |
| 2012 | 864,566 | 41.8% of population |
| 2016 | 857,901 | 44.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in New Haven shifted 11.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
New Haven has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Connecticut's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Connecticut Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has New Haven voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, New Haven has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in New Haven?
New Haven's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 10.8 points (38,670 votes) out of 366,392 total votes cast.
Has New Haven ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- New Haven has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in New Haven?
The widest margin on record for New Haven was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 23.4 points.
Is New Haven a presidential bellwether county?
New Haven has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Connecticut's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).