San Juan, Colorado — Presidential Election Results
San Juan, Colorado has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2004. In 2024, it was 22.0 pts more Dem. than Colorado overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Colorado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 210 | 48.2% | 14.0 pts (61 votes) | 436 | — | 8.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 253 | 52.1% | 7.6 pts (37 votes) | 486 | +24.9 pts | 12.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 264 | 53.2% | 9.3 pts (46 votes) | 496 | +1.7 pts | 0.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 266 | 52.6% | 10.7 pts (54 votes) | 506 | +1.8 pts | 5.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 265 | 52.4% | 9.9 pts (50 votes) | 506 | -0.9 pts | 5.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 342 | 60.9% | 24.9 pts (140 votes) | 562 | +15.3 pts | 11.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 376 | 63.9% | 32.0 pts (188 votes) | 588 | +7.6 pts | 22.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 562 | 77.6% of population |
| 2004 | 631 | 77.0% of population |
| 2008 | 670 | 74.0% of population |
| 2012 | 692 | 73.1% of population |
| 2016 | 691 | 73.2% of population |
| 2020 | 708 | 79.4% of population |
| 2024 | 821 | 71.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in San Juan shifted 50.3 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
San Juan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Colorado's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Colorado Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has San Juan voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, San Juan has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in San Juan?
San Juan's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 7.9 points (37 votes) out of 486 total votes cast.
Has San Juan ever flipped between parties?
Yes. San Juan changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in San Juan?
The widest margin on record for San Juan was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 33.3 points.
How many votes were cast in San Juan relative to its population?
In 2024, 588 votes were recorded in San Juan against a total population of 821 (71.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is San Juan a presidential bellwether county?
San Juan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Colorado's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).