Mesa, Colorado — Presidential Election Results
Mesa, Colorado has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 36.2 pts more Rep. than Colorado overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Colorado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 32,396 | 63.5% | 33.2 pts (16,931 votes) | 51,054 | — | 26.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 41,539 | 67.1% | 35.5 pts (21,975 votes) | 61,885 | -0.6 pts | 31.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 44,578 | 64.0% | 29.5 pts (20,570 votes) | 69,631 | +6.0 pts | 39.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 47,472 | 65.1% | 32.4 pts (23,626 votes) | 72,947 | -3.1 pts | 38.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 49,779 | 64.1% | 36.1 pts (28,050 votes) | 77,653 | -6.1 pts | 44.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 56,894 | 62.8% | 28.0 pts (25,358 votes) | 90,623 | +10.6 pts | 42.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 55,839 | 61.0% | 24.3 pts (22,266 votes) | 91,600 | +3.8 pts | 36.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 117,631 | 43.4% of population |
| 2004 | 127,678 | 48.5% of population |
| 2008 | 143,155 | 48.6% of population |
| 2012 | 147,317 | 49.5% of population |
| 2016 | 149,736 | 51.9% of population |
| 2020 | 156,011 | 58.1% of population |
| 2024 | 161,260 | 56.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mesa shifted 10.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Mesa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Colorado's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Colorado Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Mesa voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Mesa has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Mesa?
Mesa's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 24.9 points (22,266 votes) out of 91,600 total votes cast.
Has Mesa ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Mesa has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mesa?
The widest margin on record for Mesa was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 39.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Mesa relative to its population?
In 2024, 91,600 votes were recorded in Mesa against a total population of 161,260 (56.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Mesa a presidential bellwether county?
Mesa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Colorado's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).