Kaikoura — New Zealand Election Results

Kaikoura was won by National Party at the 2023 general election, with a margin of 11,412 votes over Labour Party in the electorate vote. This page covers every general election in Kaikoura from 1999 to 2023.

New Zealand uses Mixed-Member Proportional (MMP) voting: every voter casts two votes each election. The electorate vote below elects this seat's local MP by simple plurality (the same "winner by margin" model this site uses everywhere) — it does not by itself determine how many seats a party holds in Parliament. The separate party vote, shown further down, is what decides each party's overall share of Parliament, and often goes to a different party than the local electorate vote does.

Electorate Vote — Full History, 1999–2023

Election Winner Party Votes Vote Share Runner-up Margin
1999 National Party National Party 12,214 38.1% Labour Party (10,728) 1,486 (4.6 pts)
2002 National Party National Party 15,165 47.6% Labour Party (12,096) 3,069 (9.6 pts)
2005 National Party National Party 17,755 51.7% Labour Party (13,080) 4,675 (13.6 pts)
2008 National Party National Party 20,374 57.8% Labour Party (9,297) 11,077 (31.4 pts)
2011 National Party National Party 19,961 60.2% Labour Party (8,516) 11,445 (34.5 pts)
2014 National Party National Party 20,857 57.7% Labour Party (8,287) 12,570 (34.8 pts)
2017 National Party National Party 20,954 53.6% Labour Party (10,401) 10,553 (27.0 pts)
2020 National Party National Party 18,069 42.7% Labour Party (15,774) 2,295 (5.4 pts)
2023 National Party National Party 20,741 50.0% Labour Party (9,329) 11,412 (27.5 pts)

Party Vote in Kaikoura

The party vote is cast on the same ballot but decides Parliament's overall makeup, not this seat's MP. Shown here for the same years as the electorate vote above, so the two can be compared directly.

ElectionParty Vote WinnerVotesShareSame as electorate vote?
1996 National Party 12,280 36.2% No -- split result
1999 Labour Party 11,357 35.1% No -- split result
2002 Labour Party 12,636 39.2% No -- split result
2005 National Party 15,636 45.0% Yes
2008 National Party 18,479 51.8% Yes
2011 National Party 18,909 55.4% Yes
2014 National Party 20,770 56.6% Yes
2017 National Party 20,925 52.8% Yes
2020 Labour Party 19,159 44.6% No -- split result
2023 National Party 17,281 41.2% Yes

Full Result Breakdown by Election

1999

PartyVotesShare
National Party12,21438.1%
Labour Party10,72833.4%
Green Party2,9419.2%
Alliance2,0406.4%
Other1,6225.1%
NZ First1,3004.1%
ACT Party1,2343.8%

2002

PartyVotesShare
National Party15,16547.6%
Labour Party12,09638.0%
Green Party2,3137.3%
Other8002.5%
United Future6442.0%
ACT Party4581.4%
Jim Anderton's Progressive3651.1%

2005

PartyVotesShare
National Party17,75551.7%
Labour Party13,08038.1%
Green Party1,9275.6%
United Future4811.4%
Jim Anderton's Progressive4301.3%
ACT Party2750.8%
Other2340.7%
Maori Party1740.5%

2008

PartyVotesShare
National Party20,37457.8%
Labour Party9,29726.4%
Green Party2,8238.0%
Other2,1986.2%
ACT Party4431.3%
United Future1310.4%

2011

PartyVotesShare
National Party19,96160.2%
Labour Party8,51625.7%
Green Party3,78411.4%
ACT Party4571.4%
Other4141.2%

2014

PartyVotesShare
National Party20,85757.7%
Labour Party8,28722.9%
Green Party3,0288.4%
Other1,9215.3%
NZ First1,8965.2%
ACT Party1320.4%

2017

PartyVotesShare
National Party20,95453.6%
Labour Party10,40126.6%
NZ First4,20110.7%
Green Party2,8657.3%
Other4531.2%
ACT Party2100.5%

2020

PartyVotesShare
National Party18,06942.7%
Labour Party15,77437.3%
Other4,27910.1%
Green Party2,3775.6%
ACT Party1,8334.3%

2023

PartyVotesShare
National Party20,74150.0%
Labour Party9,32922.5%
NZ First4,34710.5%
ACT Party2,6246.3%
Green Party2,5126.1%
Other1,9584.7%

Margin Over Time

Electorate-vote winning margin (percentage points) at each election, coloured by the winning party.

1999: National Party margin 4.6 pts 2002: National Party margin 9.6 pts 2005: National Party margin 13.6 pts 2008: National Party margin 31.4 pts 2011: National Party margin 34.5 pts 2014: National Party margin 34.8 pts 2017: National Party margin 27.0 pts 2020: National Party margin 5.4 pts 2023: National Party margin 27.5 pts 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

Trend

Kaikoura has been contested at 9 general elections on record since 1999. Winning party of the electorate vote over that span: National Party.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Kaikoura in the 2023 general election?

National Party won the Kaikoura electorate vote in 2023 with 20,741 votes (50.0%), a margin of 11,412 votes over Labour Party in second place.

Did the electorate vote and party vote agree in Kaikoura in 2023?

Yes -- National Party won both the electorate vote and the party vote in Kaikoura in 2023.

Which parties have won the Kaikoura electorate seat since 1999?

Since 1999, Kaikoura has been won by: National Party.

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