Bay of Plenty — New Zealand Election Results

Bay of Plenty was won by National Party at the 2023 general election, with a margin of 15,405 votes over Labour Party in the electorate vote. This page covers every general election in Bay of Plenty from 1996 to 2023.

New Zealand uses Mixed-Member Proportional (MMP) voting: every voter casts two votes each election. The electorate vote below elects this seat's local MP by simple plurality (the same "winner by margin" model this site uses everywhere) — it does not by itself determine how many seats a party holds in Parliament. The separate party vote, shown further down, is what decides each party's overall share of Parliament, and often goes to a different party than the local electorate vote does.

Electorate Vote — Full History, 1996–2023

Election Winner Party Votes Vote Share Runner-up Margin
1996 National Party National Party 13,923 42.6% NZ First (8,770) 5,153 (15.8 pts)
1999 National Party National Party 15,781 46.0% Labour Party (8,679) 7,102 (20.7 pts)
2002 National Party National Party 12,975 42.9% NZ First (7,378) 5,597 (18.5 pts)
2005 National Party National Party 20,941 58.2% Labour Party (7,357) 13,584 (37.8 pts)
2008 National Party National Party 23,402 64.9% Other (6,345) 17,057 (47.3 pts)
2011 National Party National Party 23,710 67.5% Labour Party (5,950) 17,760 (50.5 pts)
2014 National Party National Party 21,735 60.7% Labour Party (6,639) 15,096 (42.2 pts)
2017 National Party National Party 25,352 61.1% Labour Party (11,356) 13,996 (33.7 pts)
2020 National Party National Party 20,046 44.9% Labour Party (16,631) 3,415 (7.7 pts)
2023 National Party National Party 23,303 52.3% Labour Party (7,898) 15,405 (34.6 pts)

Party Vote in Bay of Plenty

The party vote is cast on the same ballot but decides Parliament's overall makeup, not this seat's MP. Shown here for the same years as the electorate vote above, so the two can be compared directly.

ElectionParty Vote WinnerVotesShareSame as electorate vote?
1996 National Party 11,387 34.7% Yes
1999 National Party 11,350 32.9% Yes
2002 Labour Party 9,457 30.9% No -- split result
2005 National Party 17,934 49.1% Yes
2008 National Party 21,526 58.7% Yes
2011 National Party 20,853 57.6% Yes
2014 National Party 21,096 57.7% Yes
2017 National Party 23,164 54.6% Yes
2020 Labour Party 19,398 42.8% No -- split result
2023 National Party 21,452 47.2% Yes

Full Result Breakdown by Election

1996

PartyVotesShare
National Party13,92342.6%
NZ First8,77026.9%
Labour Party5,35416.4%
Alliance2,6098.0%
Christian Coalition1,2533.8%
Other3941.2%
ACT Party3591.1%

1999

PartyVotesShare
National Party15,78146.0%
Labour Party8,67925.3%
NZ First4,18512.2%
Other1,9905.8%
Green Party1,8155.3%
Alliance1,3383.9%
ACT Party5201.5%

2002

PartyVotesShare
National Party12,97542.9%
NZ First7,37824.4%
Labour Party6,49421.5%
United Future1,2314.1%
Green Party1,0983.6%
Other4161.4%
ACT Party3711.2%
Jim Anderton's Progressive2490.8%

2005

PartyVotesShare
National Party20,94158.2%
Labour Party7,35720.5%
NZ First4,90313.6%
Green Party1,1813.3%
United Future7072.0%
Other3441.0%
Maori Party3140.9%
Jim Anderton's Progressive2170.6%

2008

PartyVotesShare
National Party23,40264.9%
Other6,34517.6%
Labour Party5,79816.1%
ACT Party3461.0%
United Future1800.5%

2011

PartyVotesShare
National Party23,71067.5%
Labour Party5,95016.9%
NZ First3,70410.5%
Other1,3063.7%
MANA2510.7%
United Future2130.6%

2014

PartyVotesShare
National Party21,73560.7%
Labour Party6,63918.5%
NZ First4,54212.7%
Other2,7637.7%
United Future1350.4%

2017

PartyVotesShare
National Party25,35261.1%
Labour Party11,35627.3%
NZ First4,0609.8%
Other5631.4%
ACT Party1950.5%

2020

PartyVotesShare
National Party20,04644.9%
Labour Party16,63137.3%
Other4,1809.4%
ACT Party2,0684.6%
Green Party1,6783.8%

2023

PartyVotesShare
National Party23,30352.3%
Labour Party7,89817.7%
ACT Party4,2029.4%
Green Party4,0369.1%
NZ First4,0259.0%
Other1,1032.5%

Margin Over Time

Electorate-vote winning margin (percentage points) at each election, coloured by the winning party.

1996: National Party margin 15.8 pts 1999: National Party margin 20.7 pts 2002: National Party margin 18.5 pts 2005: National Party margin 37.8 pts 2008: National Party margin 47.3 pts 2011: National Party margin 50.5 pts 2014: National Party margin 42.2 pts 2017: National Party margin 33.7 pts 2020: National Party margin 7.7 pts 2023: National Party margin 34.6 pts 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

Trend

Bay of Plenty has been contested at 10 general elections on record since 1996. Winning party of the electorate vote over that span: National Party.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Bay of Plenty in the 2023 general election?

National Party won the Bay of Plenty electorate vote in 2023 with 23,303 votes (52.3%), a margin of 15,405 votes over Labour Party in second place.

Did the electorate vote and party vote agree in Bay of Plenty in 2023?

Yes -- National Party won both the electorate vote and the party vote in Bay of Plenty in 2023.

Which parties have won the Bay of Plenty electorate seat since 1996?

Since 1996, Bay of Plenty has been won by: National Party.

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