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Thunder Bay--Rainy River — Canadian Federal Election Results

Compiled by EveryElectionResult.com's data team · Last updated 2026-08-30

Thunder Bay--Rainy River was won by Liberal at the 2021 general election, with a margin of 1,984 votes over Conservative. This page covers every general election in Thunder Bay--Rainy River from 2004 to 2021.

Full Election History, 2004–2021

Election Winner Party Votes Vote Share Runner-up Margin
2004 Liberal Liberal 14,290 39.4% NDP (10,781) 3,509 (9.7 pts)
2006 Liberal Liberal 13,520 35.1% NDP (12,862) 658 (1.7 pts)
2008 NDP NDP 14,478 40.3% Liberal (11,589) 2,889 (8.0 pts)
2011 NDP NDP 18,085 48.7% Conservative (10,097) 7,988 (21.5 pts)
2015 Liberal Liberal 18,523 44.0% NDP (12,483) 6,040 (14.4 pts)
2019 Liberal Liberal 14,498 35.3% Conservative (12,039) 2,459 (6.0 pts)
2021 Liberal Liberal 13,655 34.3% Conservative (11,671) 1,984 (5.0 pts)

Full Result Breakdown by Election

2004

PartyVotesShare
Liberal14,29039.4%
NDP10,78129.7%
Conservative9,55926.3%
Green8562.4%
Marijuana Party5471.5%
Christian Heritage Party of Canada2670.7%

2006

PartyVotesShare
Liberal13,52035.1%
NDP12,86233.4%
Conservative10,48527.2%
Green1,1933.1%
Marijuana Party4241.1%

2008

PartyVotesShare
NDP14,47840.3%
Liberal11,58932.3%
Conservative8,46623.6%
Green1,3773.8%

2011

PartyVotesShare
NDP18,08548.7%
Conservative10,09727.2%
Liberal8,06721.7%
Green9092.4%

2015

PartyVotesShare
Liberal18,52344.0%
NDP12,48329.7%
Conservative8,87621.1%
Green2,2015.2%

2019

PartyVotesShare
Liberal14,49835.3%
Conservative12,03929.3%
NDP11,94429.1%
Green1,8294.5%
People's Party7411.8%

2021

PartyVotesShare
Liberal13,65534.3%
Conservative11,67129.3%
NDP11,34228.5%
People's Party2,6216.6%
Green5711.4%

Margin Over Time

Winning margin (percentage points) at each contested election, coloured by the winning party. Acclaimed elections (no opposing candidate) aren't plotted since there's no margin to measure.

2004: Liberal margin 9.7 pts 2006: Liberal margin 1.7 pts 2008: NDP margin 8.0 pts 2011: NDP margin 21.5 pts 2015: Liberal margin 14.4 pts 2019: Liberal margin 6.0 pts 2021: Liberal margin 5.0 pts 2004 2006 2008 2011 2015 2019 2021

Trend

Thunder Bay--Rainy River has been contested at 7 general elections on record since 2004. Winning parties over that span: Liberal, NDP.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Thunder Bay--Rainy River in the 2021 general election?

Liberal won Thunder Bay--Rainy River in 2021 with 13,655 votes (34.3%), a margin of 1,984 votes over Conservative in second place.

Which parties have won Thunder Bay--Rainy River since 2004?

Since 2004, Thunder Bay--Rainy River has been won by: Liberal, NDP.

What was the closest result in Thunder Bay--Rainy River?

The closest contested result on record for Thunder Bay--Rainy River was 2006, when Liberal beat NDP by 658 votes (1.7 percentage points).

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