Page — Australian Federal Election Results

Page was won by Kevin Hogan (National) at the 2019 federal election, with a margin of 20,439 votes over Patrick Deegan after preferences. This page covers every federal election in Page from 1984 to 2019.

Australia uses instant-runoff (preferential) voting: voters rank candidates in order of preference, and if no one has a majority of first-preference votes, the lowest-placed candidate is eliminated and their votes redistributed to voters' next preference, repeating until one candidate has a majority. The "Winner" and "Margin" below reflect the final result after preferences (equivalent to the AEC's own two-candidate-preferred figure) — not simply whoever led on first preferences, which can occasionally be a different candidate.

Full Election History (After Preferences), 1984–2019

Election Winner Party Final Votes Final Share Runner-up Margin
1984 Ian Robinson National 32,341 55.1% Brian Morris (Labor) 5,985 (10.2 pts)
1987 Ian Robinson National 34,249 54.5% Trevor Ellem (Labor) 5,669 (9.0 pts)
1990 Harry Woods Labor 35,763 50.7% Ian Robinson (National) 956 (1.4 pts)
1993 Harry Woods Labor 36,809 50.1% Mike Emerson (National) 193 (0.3 pts)
1996 Ian Causley National 41,190 54.3% Harry Woods (Labor) 6,533 (8.6 pts)
1998 Ian Causley National 39,265 52.4% Joy Mathews (Labor) 3,541 (4.7 pts)
2004 Ian Causley National 42,099 54.2% Kevin Bell (Labor) 6,556 (8.4 pts)
2007 Janelle Saffin Labor 44,770 52.4% Chris Gulaptis (National) 4,030 (4.7 pts)
2010 Janelle Saffin Labor 46,273 54.2% Kevin Hogan (National) 7,162 (8.4 pts)
2013 Kevin Hogan National 45,134 52.5% Janelle Saffin (Labor) 4,333 (5.0 pts)
2016 Kevin Hogan National 54,717 52.3% Janelle Saffin (Labor) 4,822 (4.6 pts)
2019 Kevin Hogan National 64,295 59.4% Patrick Deegan (Labor) 20,439 (18.9 pts)

First-Preference Result by Election

Every candidate's first-preference votes, before any preference redistribution.

1984

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Ian RobinsonNational27,88347.5%
Brian MorrisLabor24,14441.1%
Brian StoneIndependent3,8006.5%
Anne BrownAustralian Democrats2,8754.9%

1987

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Ian RobinsonNational27,75644.2%
Trevor EllemLabor21,35734.0%
William EgertonIndependent9,14914.6%
Ivor BrownAustralian Democrats4,5867.3%

1990

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Ian RobinsonNational30,43143.0%
Harry WoodsLabor26,84137.9%
Charles LoweAustralian Democrats6,2528.8%
Martin FrohlichIndependent5,4567.7%
David KitsonIndependent9561.3%
Ivor BrownIndependent8851.2%

1993

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Harry WoodsLabor30,77241.8%
Mike EmersonNational21,20628.8%
Malcolm MarshallLiberal12,73217.3%
Ros IrwinIndependent2,8903.9%
Rhondda O'neillIndependent2,4463.3%
Elle FikkeGreens1,7662.4%
Deborah InglisAustralian Democrats9851.3%
Lindsay OlenIndependent3770.5%
Graeme LeanIndependent2590.4%
Antoinette PerryIndependent1340.2%

1996

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Harry WoodsLabor28,97238.0%
Ian CausleyNational27,92736.7%
Anne HunterLiberal12,13215.9%
Sue HigginsonGreens2,9713.9%
James PageAustralian Democrats2,5143.3%
Trevor ArthurCommunist Party1,1191.5%
Al OshlackGreens5350.7%

1998

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Ian CausleyNational31,31341.8%
Joy MathewsLabor26,54835.4%
Warren WenbanOne Nation8,47311.3%
Nicole RogersGreens3,4604.6%
Peter WrightsonAustralian Democrats2,1622.9%
Doug BehnIndependent1,4982.0%
Graham ClausenChristian Democratic Party1,1331.5%
Kath O'driscollIndependent4020.5%

2004

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Ian CausleyNational37,63748.5%
Kevin BellLabor25,70233.1%
Mark JacksonGreens8,39910.8%
Belinda AndersonIndependent2,1552.8%
Chris MateerIndependent1,2251.6%
Doug BehnIndependent1,2161.6%
Angela GriffithsCEC8391.1%
Tom FlanaganSocialist Alliance4600.6%

2007

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Chris GulaptisNational36,81343.1%
Janelle SaffinLabor35,63641.7%
Theo JongenGreens6,9308.1%
Doug BehnIndependent1,5251.8%
Rhonda AvasaluChristian Democratic Party1,4301.7%
Julia MellandAustralian Democrats9101.1%
Tony KaneIndependent8771.0%
Mirian VegaFamily First7840.9%
Ben BeattyIndependent4620.5%
John CulverwellIndependent1430.2%

2010

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Janelle SaffinLabor39,04345.7%
Kevin HoganNational36,26342.5%
Jeff JohnsonGreens7,3258.6%
Doug BehnIndependent1,2591.5%
Merle SummervilleIndependent8961.0%
Julia MellandAustralian Democrats5980.7%

2013

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Kevin HoganNational40,08846.6%
Janelle SaffinLabor33,33638.8%
Desley BanksGreens5,6016.5%
Stephen JanesPalmer United Party4,1354.8%
Carol OrdishChristian Democratic Party1,3941.6%
Rod SmithOne Nation1,3811.6%

2016

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Kevin HoganNational46,32744.3%
Janelle SaffinLabor36,47134.9%
Kudra Falla-RickettsGreens11,64911.1%
Mark EllisLiberal Democrats4,1994.0%
Anna LudvikAJP2,9842.9%
Beth McalpineChristian Democratic Party2,9822.9%

2019

CandidatePartyFirst-Pref. VotesShare
Kevin HoganNational53,67249.6%
Patrick DeeganLabor28,50726.4%
Dan ReidGreens12,63411.7%
Fiona LevinyIndependent5,2404.8%
John MudgeUnited Australia Party3,4603.2%
Alison WatersAJP2,6462.4%
Peter WalkerChristian Democratic Party1,9921.8%

Margin Over Time

Final (after-preferences) winning margin, percentage points, coloured by the winning party.

1984: National margin 10.2 pts 1987: National margin 9.0 pts 1990: Labor margin 1.4 pts 1993: Labor margin 0.3 pts 1996: National margin 8.6 pts 1998: National margin 4.7 pts 2004: National margin 8.4 pts 2007: Labor margin 4.7 pts 2010: Labor margin 8.4 pts 2013: National margin 5.0 pts 2016: National margin 4.6 pts 2019: National margin 18.9 pts 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1998 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019

Trend

Page has been contested at 12 federal elections on record since 1984. Winning parties over that span: National, Labor.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Page in the 2019 federal election?

Kevin Hogan (National) won Page in 2019 after preferences, with 64,295 votes (59.4%) to Patrick Deegan's 43,856.

Which parties have won Page since 1984?

Since 1984, Page has been won by: Labor, National.

What was the closest result in Page?

The closest result on record for Page was 1993, when Harry Woods (Labor) beat Mike Emerson by 193 votes (0.3 percentage points) after preferences.

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