Blair — Australian Federal Election Results
Blair was won by Shayne Neumann (Labor) at the 2019 federal election, with a margin of 2,321 votes over Robert Shearman after preferences. This page covers every federal election in Blair from 1998 to 2019.
Australia uses instant-runoff (preferential) voting: voters rank candidates in order of preference, and if no one has a majority of first-preference votes, the lowest-placed candidate is eliminated and their votes redistributed to voters' next preference, repeating until one candidate has a majority. The "Winner" and "Margin" below reflect the final result after preferences (equivalent to the AEC's own two-candidate-preferred figure) — not simply whoever led on first preferences, which can occasionally be a different candidate.
Full Election History (After Preferences), 1998–2019
| Election | Winner | Party | Final Votes | Final Share | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 36,398 | 53.4% | Pauline Hanson (One Nation) | 4,632 (6.8 pts) |
| 2001 | Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 40,727 | 58.5% | Wayne Wendt (Labor) | 11,833 (17.0 pts) |
| 2004 | Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 50,057 | 61.2% | Shayne Neumann (Labor) | 18,333 (22.4 pts) |
| 2007 | Shayne Neumann | Labor | 45,369 | 54.5% | Cameron Thompson (Liberal) | 7,459 (9.0 pts) |
| 2013 | Shayne Neumann | Labor | 43,642 | 55.3% | Teresa Harding (Liberal National (Qld)) | 8,305 (10.5 pts) |
| 2016 | Shayne Neumann | Labor | 50,158 | 58.9% | Teresa Harding (Liberal National (Qld)) | 15,129 (17.8 pts) |
| 2019 | Shayne Neumann | Labor | 49,123 | 51.2% | Robert Shearman (Liberal National (Qld)) | 2,321 (2.4 pts) |
First-Preference Result by Election
Every candidate's first-preference votes, before any preference redistribution.
1998
| Candidate | Party | First-Pref. Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pauline Hanson | One Nation | 24,516 | 36.0% |
| Virginia Clarke | Labor | 17,239 | 25.3% |
| Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 14,787 | 21.7% |
| Brett White | National | 6,989 | 10.3% |
| Neil Mckenzie | Australian Democrats | 2,478 | 3.6% |
| Libby Connors | Greens | 1,230 | 1.8% |
| Lee Roberts | Independent | 556 | 0.8% |
| Owen Bassingthwaite | Independent | 199 | 0.3% |
| Mark Sloan | Independent | 170 | 0.2% |
2001
| Candidate | Party | First-Pref. Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 31,933 | 45.9% |
| Wayne Wendt | Labor | 19,397 | 27.9% |
| Gary Turner | One Nation | 10,467 | 15.0% |
| Neil Mckenzie | Australian Democrats | 2,284 | 3.3% |
| Phil Kyson | Greens | 2,273 | 3.3% |
| Selwyn Johnston | Independent | 2,131 | 3.1% |
| Dan Ryan | Independent | 921 | 1.3% |
| Lindsay Cosgrove | Independent | 215 | 0.3% |
2004
| Candidate | Party | First-Pref. Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 42,683 | 52.2% |
| Shayne Neumann | Labor | 25,709 | 31.4% |
| David Chidgey | One Nation | 4,330 | 5.3% |
| Priscilla Smith | FFP | 2,982 | 3.6% |
| Sarai O'reilly-Reis | Greens | 2,406 | 2.9% |
| Alan Price | Independent | 1,691 | 2.1% |
| Neal Mckenzie | Australian Democrats | 1,049 | 1.3% |
| John Bennett | Independent | 473 | 0.6% |
| Rodney Stapleton | CEC | 458 | 0.6% |
2007
| Candidate | Party | First-Pref. Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Neumann | Labor | 40,663 | 48.8% |
| Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 35,133 | 42.2% |
| Peter Luxton | Greens | 3,262 | 3.9% |
| Bevan Smith | Family First | 1,718 | 2.1% |
| Dale Chorley | Independent | 1,429 | 1.7% |
| David White | Australian Democrats | 735 | 0.9% |
| Doug Swanborough | Independent | 196 | 0.2% |
| Robert Thies | Independent | 143 | 0.2% |
2013
| Candidate | Party | First-Pref. Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Neumann | Labor | 32,818 | 41.6% |
| Teresa Harding | Liberal National (Qld) | 26,734 | 33.8% |
| Anthony Stanton | Palmer United Party | 9,805 | 12.4% |
| Clare Rudkin | Greens | 3,359 | 4.3% |
| Dale Chorley | Katter's Australian Party | 2,491 | 3.2% |
| Elwyn Denman | Family First | 2,257 | 2.9% |
| Shannon Deguara | Independent | 1,011 | 1.3% |
| Anthony Mackin | Independent | 504 | 0.6% |
2016
| Candidate | Party | First-Pref. Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Neumann | Labor | 35,691 | 41.9% |
| Teresa Harding | Liberal National (Qld) | 24,455 | 28.7% |
| Troy Aggett | One Nation | 13,273 | 15.6% |
| Pat Walsh | Greens | 5,266 | 6.2% |
| Geoff Darr | Family First | 2,406 | 2.8% |
| Sandy Turner | Independent | 1,913 | 2.2% |
| Patricia Petersen | Independent | 1,439 | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Emms | Independent | 744 | 0.9% |
2019
| Candidate | Party | First-Pref. Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Neumann | Labor | 29,987 | 31.3% |
| Robert Shearman | Liberal National (Qld) | 27,844 | 29.0% |
| Sharon Bell | One Nation | 16,114 | 16.8% |
| Michelle Duncan | Greens | 8,325 | 8.7% |
| Simone Karandrews | Independent | 3,849 | 4.0% |
| Majella Zimpel | United Australia Party | 3,261 | 3.4% |
| John Quinn | Democratic Labor Party | 2,418 | 2.5% |
| John Turner | Independent | 2,118 | 2.2% |
| Peter Fitzpatrick | FACNP | 2,009 | 2.1% |
Margin Over Time
Final (after-preferences) winning margin, percentage points, coloured by the winning party.
Trend
Blair has been contested at 7 federal elections on record since 1998. Winning parties over that span: Liberal, Labor.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Blair in the 2019 federal election?
Shayne Neumann (Labor) won Blair in 2019 after preferences, with 49,123 votes (51.2%) to Robert Shearman's 46,802.
Which parties have won Blair since 1998?
Since 1998, Blair has been won by: Labor, Liberal.
What was the closest result in Blair?
The closest result on record for Blair was 2019, when Shayne Neumann (Labor) beat Robert Shearman by 2,321 votes (2.4 percentage points) after preferences.