Maricopa, Arizona — Presidential Election Results
Maricopa, Arizona has voted Republican in 6 of the last 6 presidential elections on record (2000–2024).
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 479,967 | 53.2% | 10.3 pts (93,284 votes) | 901,699 | — |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 679,455 | 57.0% | 14.6 pts (174,606 votes) | 1,192,751 | -4.0 pts |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 746,448 | 54.7% | 10.6 pts (144,282 votes) | 1,364,962 | +4.0 pts |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 749,885 | 54.5% | 10.7 pts (147,597 votes) | 1,376,558 | -0.2 pts |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 747,361 | 47.7% | 2.8 pts (44,454 votes) | 1,567,834 | +7.9 pts |
| 2020 | Data not yet available for this cycle — see sourcing note below. | ||||||
| 2024 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,051,531 | 51.0% | 3.5 pts (71,515 votes) | 2,062,044 | -0.5 pts |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Maricopa shifted 7.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.